SITUATION OVERVIEW
The center of Tropical Storm (TS) Melissa was located near latitude 14.4 North, longitude 74.3 West at 5:00 p.m. AST (2100 UTC). Strong west-northwesterly shear is displacing the low-level center to the west of the main convection, limiting short-term development. Maximum sustained winds are near 50 mph (85 km/h) with higher wind gusts, and only minimal strengthening is expected over the next 24–36 hours. TS Melissa is a slow-moving storm, tracking west-northwest near 2 mph (4 km/h). This slow forward speed is expected to continue, although confidence in the exact track remains low. Recent trends favor a slower, slightly more westward trajectory, while other models keep Melissa weaker and tracking closer to Jamaica and Haiti.
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