Information Notes

NHC UPDATE

According to the National Hurricane Center (NHC) in Miami, Florida, as of 8:00 PM (AST) on July 24, 2020, the center of Tropical Storm Gonzalo was located near latitude 10 degrees North, longitude 56.3 degrees West. Gonzalo is moving toward the west near 18 mph (30 km/h). A general westward to west-northwestward motion is expected over the next two days. On the forecast track, Gonzalo will move across the southern Windward Islands Saturday afternoon or evening and over the eastern Caribbean Sea on Sunday.

Situation
According to The University of the West Indies Seismic Research Centre (UWI SRC), at this time, the main hazard of focus is related to damage from earthquakes, with aftershocks likely to occur in the next few weeks to months. The potential for a larger magnitude event, along the Punta Montalva fault near the southern boundary of Puerto Rico, cannot be excluded that may have the potential to generate a tsunami. The Pacific Tsunami Warning Centre reported small tsunami waves measuring around 20 centimetres (7.9 inches) were observed to be associated with the M 6.4 event. The SRC acknowledges the Puerto Rico Seismic Network (PRSN) as the lead seismic monitoring agency for Puerto Rico and advises interests in the region to consult the PRSN for detailed updates on the seismic activity in Puerto Rico.

National Hurricane Center (NHC) Update

According to the National Hurricane Center (NHC) in Miami, Florida, as at 5:00 PM AST, the eye of Hurricane Jerry was located near latitude 17.5 North, longitude 55.8 West. Jerry is moving toward the west-northwest near 17 mph (28 km/h). A west- northwest to northwest motion at a decreasing forward speed is expected over the next few days. On the forecast track, the center of Jerry will move north of the northern Leeward Islands Friday and pass well north of Puerto Rico on Saturday and be well east-northeast of the southwestern Bahamas on Sunday.

NHC Update

According to the National Hurricane Center (NHC) in Miami, Florida, as of 5:00 PM (AST) on July 23, 2020, the center of Tropical Storm Gonzalo was located near latitude 9.8 degrees North, longitude 49.4 degrees West. Gonzalo is moving toward the west near 13 mph (20 km/h). A westward to west-northwestward motion with an increase in forward speed is expected through the weekend. On the forecast track, the center of Gonzalo will approach the southern Windward Islands Friday night and
move across the islands Saturday and Saturday evening. Maximum sustained winds are near 60 mph (95 km/h) with higher gusts. Some strengthening is forecast during the next day or two, and there is still a chance that Gonzalo could become a hurricane. Weakening is expected after Gonzalo moves into the Caribbean Sea.Gonzalo is a tiny tropical storm, and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 25 miles (35 km) from the center.The estimated minimum central pressure is 1000 mb (29.53 inches).

National Hurricane Center (NHC) Update

According to the National Hurricane Center (NHC) in Miami, Florida, as at 2:00 PM AST, the center of Tropical Storm Karen was located near latitude 12.7 North, longitude 62.3 West. Karen is moving toward the west-northwest near 13 mph (20 km/h) and this general motion is expected to continue today. A turn toward the northwest is forecast to occur on Monday, followed by a turn toward the north on Tuesday. On the forecast track, the center of Karen will move away from the Windward Islands later today, and then across the eastern Caribbean Sea tonight and Monday. On Tuesday, Karen is expected to approach.

According to the National Hurricane Center (NHC) in Miami, Florida, at 8:00 PM AST, the distinct eye of Hurricane Dorian was located near latitude 26.6 North, longitude 77.6 West. Dorian is moving toward the west near 5 mph (7 km/h). A slower westward to west-northwestward motion is forecast during the next day or two, followed by a gradual turn toward the northwest. On this track, the core of extremely dangerous Hurricane Dorian will continue to pound Great Abaco and Grand Bahama Islands tonight and Monday.

Maximum sustained winds remain near 185 mph (295 km/h) with higher gusts. Dorian is a category 5 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. Some fluctuations in intensity are likely, and Dorian is expected to remain a catastrophic hurricane during the next few days.

For full situation report please click here.

KEY HIGHLIGHTS:

  • On 21 January 2020, The World Health Organization (WHO) declared the outbreak of the Novel Coronavirus. Currently WHO IHR Emergency Committee is meeting to discuss possibility of declaring the outbreak A Public Health Emergency of International Concern
  • A PHEIC is declared if an extraordinary event poses a public health threat to other nations through the spread of disease and requires a more robust coordinated international response.
  • The risk of transmission to the Caribbean is LOW
  • WHO, CDC have assessed the risk level low but this may change in coming days based on international spread. 

National Hurricane Center (NHC) Update

According to the National Hurricane Center (NHC) in Miami, Florida, as at 5:00 PM AST, the eye of Hurricane Jerry was located near latitude 23.0 N 65.8 W. Jerry is moving toward the northwest near 14 mph (22km/h), and this general motion is expected to continue today. Jerry is forecast to turn northward on Sunday and then gradually accelerate northeastward early next week. Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 65 mph (100 km/h) with higher gusts. Little overall change in strength is forecast for the next several days, but short-term fluctuations in intensity are possible. Tropical-stormforce winds extend outward up to 80miles (130 km) from the center.

According to the National Hurricane Center (NHC) in Miami, Florida, as of 5:00 PM (AST) on August 31, 2019, the eye of Hurricane Dorian was located near latitude 26.2 North, longitude 74.4 West. Dorian is moving toward the west near 8 mph (13 km/h) and a slower westward motion should continue over the next day or two followed by a gradual turn to the northwest. On this track, the core of Dorian should move near or over portions of the northwestern Bahamas on Sunday September 1, 2019.

Maximum sustained winds are near 150 mph (240 km/h) with higher gusts. Dorian is a category 4 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 30 miles (45 km) from the centre. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 105 miles (165 km).

For full situation report please click here.

  1. CDEMA Information Note #3 - Hurricane Dorian as of 5:00PM (AST) on August 28, 2019
  2. CDEMA Information Note #2 - Tropical Storm Dorian as of 8:00PM (AST) on August 26, 2019
  3. CDEMA Information Note #1 - Tropical Storm Dorian as of 5:00PM (AST) on August 25, 2019
  4. CDEMA Information Note #1 - Elevated Seismic Activity as of 11:00AM (AST) on October 4, 2018

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