Information Notes

National Hurricane Center (NHC) Update

According to the National Hurricane Center (NHC) in Miami, Florida, as at 5:00 PM AST, the eye of Hurricane Jerry was located near latitude 23.0 N 65.8 W. Jerry is moving toward the northwest near 14 mph (22km/h), and this general motion is expected to continue today. Jerry is forecast to turn northward on Sunday and then gradually accelerate northeastward early next week. Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 65 mph (100 km/h) with higher gusts. Little overall change in strength is forecast for the next several days, but short-term fluctuations in intensity are possible. Tropical-stormforce winds extend outward up to 80miles (130 km) from the center.

According to the National Hurricane Center (NHC) in Miami, Florida, as of 5:00 PM (AST) on August 31, 2019, the eye of Hurricane Dorian was located near latitude 26.2 North, longitude 74.4 West. Dorian is moving toward the west near 8 mph (13 km/h) and a slower westward motion should continue over the next day or two followed by a gradual turn to the northwest. On this track, the core of Dorian should move near or over portions of the northwestern Bahamas on Sunday September 1, 2019.

Maximum sustained winds are near 150 mph (240 km/h) with higher gusts. Dorian is a category 4 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 30 miles (45 km) from the centre. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 105 miles (165 km).

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According to the National Hurricane Center (NHC) in Miami, Florida, as of 5:00 PM (AST) on August 25, 2019, the center of Tropical Storm Dorian was located near latitude 11.5 North, longitude 54.2 West. Dorian is moving toward the west near 14 mph (22 km/h). The estimated minimum central pressure 1003 mb. Maximum sustained winds are 50 mph (85 km/h) with higher gusts. Some strengthening is forecast during the next 48 hours. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 35 miles (55 km) from the centre.

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National Hurricane Center (NHC) Update

According to the National Hurricane Center (NHC) in Miami, Florida, as at 5:00 PM AST, the eye of Hurricane Jerry was located near latitude 17.5 North, longitude 55.8 West. Jerry is moving toward the west-northwest near 17 mph (28 km/h). A west- northwest to northwest motion at a decreasing forward speed is expected over the next few days. On the forecast track, the center of Jerry will move north of the northern Leeward Islands Friday and pass well north of Puerto Rico on Saturday and be well east-northeast of the southwestern Bahamas on Sunday.

According to the National Hurricane Center (NHC) in Miami, Florida, as of 5:00 PM (AST) on August 28, 2019, the centre of Hurricane Dorian was located near latitude 18.8 North, longitude 65.5 West. Dorian is moving toward the northwest near 14 mph (22 km/h). On this track, Dorian should continue to move away from the British Virgin Islands during the next several hours and then move over the open Atlantic well east of the southeastern Bahamas on Thursday and Friday. The estimated minimum central pressure is 997 mb (29.44 inches).

Situation

The University of the West Indies Seismic Research Center (UWI SRC) has reported High levels of seismicity at the Kick em’ Jenny Volcano. Since the episode began during the afternoon of September 30, 2018 quite a number of events have taken place. The largest of these events occurred on Monday morning at 03:24 a.m., 03:35 a.m. and 03:56 a.m. (local time) of magnitudes 3.5, 3.5 and 3.3 respectively.

The National Disaster Management Agency (NaDMA) wishes to inform marine interests and the general public that the threat level remains at YELLOW – which means that the exclusion zone of 1.5 kilometers must continue to be observed.

According to the National Hurricane Center (NHC) in Miami, Florida, at 8:00 PM AST, the distinct eye of Hurricane Dorian was located near latitude 26.6 North, longitude 77.6 West. Dorian is moving toward the west near 5 mph (7 km/h). A slower westward to west-northwestward motion is forecast during the next day or two, followed by a gradual turn toward the northwest. On this track, the core of extremely dangerous Hurricane Dorian will continue to pound Great Abaco and Grand Bahama Islands tonight and Monday.

Maximum sustained winds remain near 185 mph (295 km/h) with higher gusts. Dorian is a category 5 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. Some fluctuations in intensity are likely, and Dorian is expected to remain a catastrophic hurricane during the next few days.

For full situation report please click here.

According to the National Hurricane Center (NHC) in Miami, Florida, as of 8:00 PM (AST) on August 26, 2019, the center of Tropical Storm Dorian was located near latitude 13.0 North, longitude 59.1 West. Dorian is moving toward the west-northwest near 14 mph (22 km/h). The estimated minimum central pressure 1007 mb.

Maximum sustained winds are 60 mph (95 km/h) with higher gusts. Some strengthening is forecast during the next few days, and Dorian could be near hurricane strength when it passes through the northern Windward Islands on Tuesday August 27, 2019.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 45 miles (75 km) from the centre. 

For full information note please click here.

  1. CDEMA Information Note #2 - Hurricane Isaac as of 6:00PM (AST) on September 11, 2018
  2. CDEMA Information Note #1 - Hurricane Isaac as of 6:00PM (AST) on September 10, 2018
  3. CDEMA Information Note #3 - Tropical Storm Beryl as of 2:00PM (AST) on July 08, 2018
  4. CDEMA Information Note #2 - Tropical Storm Beryl as of 8:00PM (AST) on July 07, 2018

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