Information Notes

NHC Update

According to the National Hurricane Center (NHC) in Miami, Florida, as of 5:00 PM (AST) on July 28, 2020, the disturbance was centered near latitude 14.4 North, longitude 55.9 West. The system is moving toward the west-northwest near 23 mph (37 km/h), and this general motion with some slight reduction in forward speed is expected over the next few days. On the forecast track, the system is expected to move through the Leeward Islands on Wednesday, near or over the Virgin Islands and Puerto Rico Wednesday night, and near or over Hispaniola on Thursday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts. Some strengthening is expected during the next 48 hours, and the system is forecast to become a tropical storm tonight or Wednesday.

Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for additional development and a tropical storm is forecast to form tonight or Wednesday.

  • Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent
  • Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 230 miles (370 km) primarily to the northeast of the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1007 mb (29.74 inches).

NHC Update

According to the National Hurricane Center (NHC) in Miami, Florida, as of 11:00 AM (AST) on July 25, 2020, the center of Tropical Storm Gonzalo was located near latitude 10.5 degrees North, longitude 60.5 degrees West. Gonzalo is moving toward the west near 18 mph (30 km/h). A general westward to west-northwestward motion is expected today and tonight. On the forecast track, Gonzalo will move across the southern Windward Islands this afternoon or evening and over the southeastern Caribbean Sea on Sunday.

NHC UPDATE

According to the National Hurricane Center (NHC) in Miami, Florida, as of 8:00 PM (AST) on July 24, 2020, the center of Tropical Storm Gonzalo was located near latitude 10 degrees North, longitude 56.3 degrees West. Gonzalo is moving toward the west near 18 mph (30 km/h). A general westward to west-northwestward motion is expected over the next two days. On the forecast track, Gonzalo will move across the southern Windward Islands Saturday afternoon or evening and over the eastern Caribbean Sea on Sunday.

NHC Update

According to the National Hurricane Center (NHC) in Miami, Florida, as of 5:00 PM (AST) on July 23, 2020, the center of Tropical Storm Gonzalo was located near latitude 9.8 degrees North, longitude 49.4 degrees West. Gonzalo is moving toward the west near 13 mph (20 km/h). A westward to west-northwestward motion with an increase in forward speed is expected through the weekend. On the forecast track, the center of Gonzalo will approach the southern Windward Islands Friday night and
move across the islands Saturday and Saturday evening. Maximum sustained winds are near 60 mph (95 km/h) with higher gusts. Some strengthening is forecast during the next day or two, and there is still a chance that Gonzalo could become a hurricane. Weakening is expected after Gonzalo moves into the Caribbean Sea.Gonzalo is a tiny tropical storm, and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 25 miles (35 km) from the center.The estimated minimum central pressure is 1000 mb (29.53 inches).

KEY HIGHLIGHTS:

  • On 21 January 2020, The World Health Organization (WHO) declared the outbreak of the Novel Coronavirus. Currently WHO IHR Emergency Committee is meeting to discuss possibility of declaring the outbreak A Public Health Emergency of International Concern
  • A PHEIC is declared if an extraordinary event poses a public health threat to other nations through the spread of disease and requires a more robust coordinated international response.
  • The risk of transmission to the Caribbean is LOW
  • WHO, CDC have assessed the risk level low but this may change in coming days based on international spread. 

  1. CDEMA Information Note #1 - Heightened Seismic Activity in the Northern Caribbean
  2. CDEMA Information Note #1 - Tropical Storm Karen as of 2:00PM (AST) on September 22nd, 2019
  3. CDEMA Information Note #2 - Tropical Storm Jerry as of 5:00PM (AST) on September 21st, 2019
  4. CDEMA Information Note #1 - Hurricane Jerry as of 5:00PM (AST) on September 19th, 2019

Subcategories

Tropical Storm Kirk

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